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Caesars Sportsbook sets lines for 2020 College Football win totals as Lane Kiffin enters his first season at Ole Miss

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Ole Miss football enters its first season under head coach Lane Kiffin and his impressive staff with a lot of questions that need to be answered, but a solid foundation of talented youth and a positive outlook for improvement in a new system.

However, whether the 2020 NCAA football season will proceed as scheduled is yet to be seen. The COVID-19 global pandemic has halted collegiate athletics indefinitely and casts a shadow of uncertainty long past the fall.

If no football, as one Athletic Director told Ross Dellenger, “We are all f*cked.”

Should the year begin on time, the Rebels will look to improve upon a dreadful 4-8 record in 2019 that saw five one-possession games go in favor of the opponents. Ceasers Entertainment, which owns 38 casinos and sportsbooks around the country, has released the lines for college football 2020 win totals.

Ole Miss, per the numbers and all-knowing algorithms, is set to improve this season and has its Over/Under set at 5.5 wins. Alabama leads the conference (again) with 10.5 wins, followed by Florida and Georgia at 10. Here are the totals for the entire SEC:

Breaking down the 2020 Ole Miss football schedule

Kiffin and co., who begin the year in Houston against fellow first-year head coach Dave Aranda and Baylor, run a brutal gauntlet of mid-season matchups against likely top-25 opponents Auburn, LSU, Alabama, Vanderbilt, Florida and Texas A&M that will set the tone for the final win count.

Assuming that Ole Miss takes care of business against Southeast Missouri, Vanderbilt, UConn and Georgia Southern, it needs just one win to improve upon its 2019 record, and two wins to hit the Over on Caesars’ win total line.

Putting Auburn (beatable), LSU (facing a lot of turnover), Alabama (at least it’s at home), and Florida (unpredictable) aside, six wins is extremely reachable.

Week one will come down to the wire, but if John Rhys Plumlee can run on Aranda’s defense like he did a season ago against LSU, it’s a winnable game.

Texas A&M typically finds itself lingering around No. 23 in the nation, but never quite puts the pieces together. Should the consistent inconsistency that seems to come with the Aggies continue, the Rebels could find a fifth win on November 7th.

Should the fifth and six wins not come against the Bears or the Aggies, the Hogs and the Dogs each have first-year head coaches and lack sure-fire star power.

Arkansas is headed by a former offensive line coach, and Ole Miss fans have seen how that experiment works out. On offensive talent alone, the Rebels should score more points than the Razorbacks. I’d pencil this one in.

Depending on the situation, a battle of two former Pac-12 coaches with high-profile personalities on either side of the most volatile rivalry in recent college football history could determine bowl eligibility for the Rebels. Even though COVID-19 hurts both programs in a time of transition, an argument can be made that it puts Mike Leach in a more difficult spot.

Not only is he taking over a new roster, he is installing an Air Raid system that needs adequate introduction and teaching. The pass-heavy, deep-ball offense also requires a particular type of athlete for which he has not yet been able to recruit. It’s not to say that Mississippi State’s flashy hire will fail, but there will be a learning curve, and Ole Miss should finish ahead of the in-state rivals this season.

If the season plays out, 5.5 wins seems right about where Kiffin’s first year in Oxford will finish. Looking at the schedule, the ceiling appears to be eight wins, while the floor bottoms out at a repeat of 2019 with four wins.

I don’t bet on the Rebels, but if I did— I’d take a good hard look at the over.


The remaining Caesers Entertainment 2020 college football win totals:

American Athletic Conference

Central Florida 10.5

Cincinnati 8.5

East Carolina 3.5

Houston 5.5

Memphis 10

Navy 7

South Florida 4.5

Southern Methodist 7

Temple 6

Tulane 6

Tulsa 4.5

Atlantic Coast Conference

Boston College 5

Clemson 11.5

Duke 5.5

Florida State 7.5

Georgia Tech 3

Louisville 7.5

Miami (Fla.) 9

North Carolina 8.5

North Carolina State 5

Pittsburgh 6.5

Syracuse 5.5

Virginia 6.5

Virginia Tech 8

Wake Forest 6.5

Big 12

Baylor 7.5

Iowa State 8

Kansas 3.5

Kansas State 6

Oklahoma 10

Oklahoma State 8.5

Texas 9

Texas Christian 6.5

Texas Tech 6

West Virginia 5.5 (under -145)

Big Ten

Illinois 5

Indiana 7.5

Iowa 7

Maryland 3.5

Michigan 9

Michigan State 4.5

Minnesota 9

Nebraska 6.5

Northwestern 5.5

Ohio State 11

Penn State 9.5

Purdue 5

Rutgers 2.5

Wisconsin 9.5

Conference USA

Charlotte 5

Florida Atlantic 8

Florida International 6

Louisiana Tech 7.5

Marshall 6

Middle Tennessee 5.5

North Texas 5.5

Old Dominion 3

Rice 5.5

Southern Mississippi 7

UAB (Alabama-Birmingham) 8

UTEP (Texas-El Paso) 2

UTSA (Texas-San Antonio) 3

Western Kentucky 7.5

Independents

Army 7

Brigham Young 7

Connecticut 3

Liberty 6.5

Massachusetts 2

New Mexico State 3.5

Notre Dame 9

Mid-American Conference

Akron 2

Ball State 6

Bowling Green 2.5

Buffalo 7.5

Central Michigan 7

Eastern Michigan 4

Kent State 5.5

Miami (Ohio) 6.5

Northern Illinois 5.5

Ohio 8.5

Toledo 6.5

Western Michigan 6.5

Mountain West

Air Force 8.5 (under -150)

Boise State 9.5

Colorado State 6.5

Fresno State 6

Hawaii 6

New Mexico 3.5

San Diego State 8

San Jose State 5.5

UNLV 3

UNR 6.5

Utah State 5

Wyoming 6

Pac-12

Arizona 4.5

Arizona State 8

California 7

Colorado 3

Oregon 9.5

Oregon State 5.5

Southern California 8

Stanford 5.5

UCLA 5.5

Utah 8.5

Washington 8.5

Washington State 6

Sun Belt

Appalachian State 10

Arkansas State 6

Coastal Carolina 4.5

Georgia Southern 5.5

Georgia State 5.5

Louisiana (Lafayette) 10

Louisiana-Monroe 4

South Alabama 4

Texas State 3.5

Troy 7.5