If you’re a devoted follower of the Red Cup Betting Guide, you have some serious questions about last week’s picks.
First, where the heck were they? Well, Ole Miss didn’t play, so I cashed out and went to the venerable Southland Park dog track for a little betting action. The ole gal is apparently going the way of the horse and buggy very soon, and I wanted one last go at smelling like cigarettes and tossing some coin at the dogs.
Secondly, how’d you do without my help last week? Oh, it went terribly, that’s no shocker to be honest. I’m sitting at 17-11 for the year, and we’re about to give you four locks to have a perfect week and stretch our winning percentage out.
Ole Miss is on the road against Auburn, playoff implications are looming large, and the time for unlikely upsets has finally arrived as teams fall out of contention for conference titles and get demoralized.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS THE BEST RIGHT?
Alright, let’s get to the picks. As always, we give you an over, an under, a spread, and a moneyline to go get rich.
Ole Miss +20 at No. 11 Auburn
Bovada is giving this a 20-point line, and I think that’s just too fat not to go get some money. The Rebels in my opinion are not going to win this game, but I don’t see them losing by three touchdowns even in a night game against Auburn. The Tigers defense is fantastic as evidenced by holding LSU to 23 points in Baton Rouge last week. I think there will be some hangover from that game, however, and the Auburn passing attack is just not developed enough to take a lot of advantages against the Rebels. Ole Miss covers again in an SEC game, rinse, lather, repeat.
UAB at Tennessee -550
The Vols are sitting at 3-5 going into homecoming (not ideal!), but they have obviously turned the corner as a team with wins over Mississippi State and South Carolina in recent weeks. The early season losses to Georgia State and BYU are still causing Vegas to put some doubt on the Big Orange, so it’s time to take advantage of that by dropping a cool $1,000 on Tennessee to win and making some scratch. UT is headed toward bowl eligibility with remaining games against UAB, Kentucky, Mizzou and Vanderbilt but the margin of error is pretty small at this point.
Fresno State at Hawaii — O/U 69.5 points
The Bulldogs have scored more than 30 points in five of its seven games, and Hawaii has topped 30 in six of its eight games. This will be on late, so get a nice buzz going during the Ole Miss game and get into a little rage cheering on both offenses well past midnight. You won’t have many more weeks to watch college football deep into the night and early into the morning, bet the over and watch the game, or be a coward.
No. 15 SMU at No. 24 Memphis — O/U 72 points
The College Gameday game of the week has hit the Bluff City and Orange Mound. The Tigers are apparently close to selling this game out for the first sell out in four or five years, so the crowd will be very into it as SMU puts its spotless record on the line. To me, 72 points is just a little high with so much riding on this game. I think both teams are going to be tight to begin with, and the Memphis defense is decent enough to keep this game from becoming a shootout. Fun fact: the Tiger defense has not allowed more than 24 points at home so far this season, so bet the under.
So what bets will you be placing this week? Comment or tweet @redcuprebellion with your locks, and we may even feature your genius next week.