Once the sure-fire No. 1 overall, Tunsil has been pushed to at least No. 3 thanks to a pair of trades at the top of the draft (the Rams and Eagles both moved up for quarterbacks). But there's no guarantee the Chargers grab Tunsil with the third pick—or that he's even the first offensive tackle off the board. Both Michael Silver and Peter King of Sports Illustrated reported earlier this week that some NFL GMs (they didn't say which ones) have Notre Dame's Ronnie Stanley above Tunsil on their draft boards. That doesn't seem likely, but it is likely that the Chargers, who already have a decent left tackle in King Dunlap, take a defensive prospect like Jalen Ramsey or DeForest Buckner.
If the Chargers pass, it's possible Tunsil slides all the way to the Ravens at No. 6. But I just can't see him going that far. I think someone trades with the Jaguars and takes him at No. 5. The most intriguing possibility? The Titans move back up using some of the collateral they bagged from the Rams. GM Jon Robinson comes out of nowhere doing the Marshawn Lynch hold-mah-dick pose.
Tunsil draft profile: highlights, stats and combine numbers
This one's really tough, because it's less about gauging team needs and schematic fits and more about guessing which franchise has the balls to look past Big Rob's red flags and take him based on his top-five talent level. Rex Ryan once signed a guy who socked Geno Smith in the face, so he and the Bills seem as good a candidate as any at No. 19 (it doesn't hurt that Nkemdiche is a perfect fit for Ryan's aggressive defense, which needs to replace Mario Williams).
Rob could certainly slide a bit farther, but I think he's just too damn talented to fall out of the first round.
Nkemdiche draft profile: highlights, stats and combine numbers
Treadwell is a perfect fit next to Odell Beckham, Jr. and I'd love to watch him catch touchdowns from Eli, but the slow 40 makes it too tough for the Giants to pull the trigger at No. 10. In the last 10 years, no receiver with a 40 time higher than 4.53 has gone in the top 15 picks.
I think its the Vikings at No. 23. Treadwell could be the perfect security blanket for a young Teddy Bridgewater, who was under pressure more than any QB in the NFL last season (46.9 percent of his drop backs, per Pro Football Focus). Because of Bridgewater's limited arm strength, the Vikings don't ask him to throw downfield often (his average target in 2015 was just 7.4 yards downfield, third lowest in the league), which means they likely won't obsess over Treadwell's straight line speed.
Treadwell draft profile: highlights, stats and combine numbers
How to watch the first round
When: Thursday, 7 p.m. CT
TV: ESPN and NFL Network
Rounds 2-3 will be Friday starting at 6 p.m CT.
Rounds 4-7 will be Saturday starting at 11 a.m. CT.
Complete first-round order
- Los Angeles Rams (via trade with Tennessee Titans)
- Philadelphia Eagles (via trade with Cleveland Browns)
- San Diego Chargers
- Dallas Cowboys
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Baltimore Ravens
- San Francisco 49ers
- Cleveland Browns (via trade with Philadelphia Eagles and Miami Dolphins)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- New York Giants
- Chicago Bears
- New Orleans Saints
- Miami Dolphins (via trade with Eagles)
- Oakland Raiders
- Tennessee Titans (via trade with Rams)
- Detroit Lions
- Atlanta Falcons
- Indianapolis Colts
- Buffalo Bills
- New York Jets
- Washington Redskins
- Houston Texans
- Minnesota Vikings
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Seattle Seahawks
- Green Bay Packers
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Arizona Cardinals
- Carolina Panthers
- Denver Broncos
Note: The Patriots lost their first-round pick because of Deflategate.