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NCAA Baseball Tournament projections: Ole Miss needs to beat Mississippi State

Losing two or more to Clanga would all but wreck the Rebs' chances of finishing at least one game above .500.

You can cut the Andy Kennedy act out now, Mike Bianco.

With less than two weeks to go in the regular season, the baseball Rebs are walking an NCAA Tournament tight rope. Their resume, as far as RPI and strength of schedule are concerned, is plenty sturdy to earn an invite to the Diamond Dance, but at 25-24, they're in real danger of dropping below the NCAA's one-game-above-.500 requirement. After losing two on the road in Mizzou last weekend, Ole Miss needs to win four of the final seven games to avoid a must-win scenario in the opening round of the SEC Tournament.

Three of those last seven games are against No. 4 Texas A&M, which makes it all the more important that the Rebs win at least two of three against Mississippi State in a series that begins Thursday night. The series is in Oxford and Clanga is not good -- they've lost 11 of their last 14 and are just a week removed from taking an 11-1 Ole Miss ass-whoopin in the Governors Cup -- but this is Ole Miss-State, which means whoever has more to lose will probably lose.

Ole Miss' resume is pretty much meaningless at this point, but what the hell.

  • Overall record: 25-24
  • SEC record: 11-13
  • RPI: 38
  • Strength of schedule: 1
  • Best series wins: Florida (RPI #9), Vanderbilt (RPI #14)
  • Worst series loss: Tennessee (RPI #75)
  • D1 Baseball NCAA Tourney projection: 3 seed in Coral Gables Regional