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[Fit4LifeLLC put in a ton of effort this season to comb through and compile stats on the Rebels and their opponents. He deserves at least a modicum of our gratitude, y'all.]
On Monday afternoon, the Ole Miss Rebels will try and extend their bowl game win streak to six, not to mention and ten victories in the last 11 appearances, when they face the Yellow Jackets of Georgia Tech in the Music City Bowl. The game will kick off at 2:15 PM, and will be broadcast on ESPN.
Georgia Tech is appearing in their impressive 17th straight bowl and, led by the old-school Paul Johnson, they hope to utilize their option attack to win their second straight.
The match up between the Jackets and Rebels is an intriguing one. After both teams dropped their in-state rivalry games to close the season in on sour notes, it will be interesting to see which of the two 7-5 teams is more motivated and prepared to win.
Regarding styles of play, these two teams could not be more different, with the Rebels trying to play an up tempo style of play characterized by read-option runs and quick passes contrasting with Georgia Tech's run heavy triple option attack. If you like "non-traditional" (see: "not found much in the NFL") football, then this bowl matchup is perhaps one of the most interesting ones you'll find this offseason.
In an article linked on the Cup earlier this week, some of the guys at From the Rumble Seat, SB Nation's Georgia Tech community, provided some great statistical analysis for this game. Here we will offer a slightly different perspective by looking at individual and team statistics, to highlight who for the Jackets team has performed exceptionally well while looking at what these teams have done on the aggregate.
Georgia Tech is led by Vad "Is-that-short-for-‘Vadamir'-or-something" Lee at quarterback. Although, Lee is not asked to attempt many passes per game in this scheme (just under 12/game), he is averaging close to 9 yards per attempt and has 10 TD's through the air on the year.
Georgia Tech Passing Leaders
Name |
Comp/Att |
Yards |
Int |
TDs |
Comp % |
Effeciency |
Vad Lee |
77/163 |
1414 |
9 |
10 |
47.2 |
129.31 |
Justin Thomas |
9/17 |
131 |
2 |
1 |
52.9 |
113.55 |
Tim Byerly |
1/4 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
31.3 |
On the ground, look for David Sims to get a load of the carries aside from Lee. Sims could go over the 1000 yard mark on the season with a big game against the Rebels. Ole Miss will also need to keep a close eye on Robert Godhigh, as he has tons of big play capability. He is second on the team in rushing and the Jackets' leading receiver.
Georgia Tech Rushing Leaders
Name |
Attempts |
Yards |
TDs |
Average/Game |
Long |
David SIms |
151 |
846 |
11 |
70.5 |
39 |
Robert Godhigh |
69 |
694 |
6 |
57.8 |
65 |
Vad Lee |
166 |
489 |
8 |
40.8 |
21 |
Zach Laskey |
79 |
458 |
7 |
38.2 |
33 |
Georgia Tech Receiving Leaders
Name |
Receptions |
Yards |
TDs |
Average/Game |
Long |
Robert Godhigh |
21 |
420 |
2 |
35 |
43 |
DeAndre Smelter |
21 |
345 |
4 |
28.8 |
42 |
Darren Waller |
15 |
288 |
2 |
26.2 |
68 |
Micheal Summers |
10 |
211 |
0 |
17.6 |
54 |
Tech is strong defensively, and have one of the better rush defenses the Rebs will have faced. They are somewhat more vulnerable against the pass, but they do manage to keep opponents from scoring - which is obviously the most important thing they can do.
GT Offense |
GT Defense |
|
Scoring |
439 |
272 |
First Downs |
265 |
228 |
Rushing Yardage |
3740 |
1284 |
Passing Yardage |
1548 |
2922 |
Total Offense |
5288 |
4206 |
Avg Per Game |
440.7 |
350.5 |
Average Per Play |
6.2 |
5.5 |
Total Plays |
850 |
765 |
OM Offense |
OM Defense |
|
Scoring |
365 |
291 |
First Downs |
289 |
248 |
Rushing Yardage |
2249 |
1863 |
Passing Yardage |
3427 |
2655 |
Total Offense |
5676 |
4518 |
Total Plays |
934 |
851 |
Average Per Play |
6.1 |
5.3 |
Avg Per Game |
473 |
376.5 |
Tech also has good special teams, plays well on third down, and is highly effective in the red zone.
OM |
GT |
|
Turnovers |
20 |
22 |
Punting |
46 for 37.8 yds net |
39 for 37.8 yds net |
Time of Possession |
29:29:00 |
33:50:00 |
3rd Conversion % |
46% |
52% |
4th Conversion % |
52% |
44% |
Sacks For |
19 for 134 yds |
32 for 219 yds |
FG |
15/21 |
9 for 13 |
Red Zone Scoring |
76% |
90% |
Penalties |
43.8 yds/game |
40.8 yds/game |
GT Defensive Leaders
Name |
Tackles (Total) |
TFL |
Turnover Plays |
Sacks |
PBU's |
Jamea Thomas |
73 |
3.5 |
3 |
2 |
8 |
Brandon Watts |
59 |
3.5 |
2 |
2.5 |
1 |
Quayshawn Nealy |
57 |
3.5 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
Jabari Hunt-Days |
44 |
7 |
1 |
2.5 |
1 |
Demond Smith |
43 |
3 |
0 |
0.5 |
4 |
Jeremiah Attaochu |
40 |
15.5 |
0 |
12 |
2 |
Paul Davis |
39 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Ole Miss Defensive Leaders
Name |
Tackles (Total) |
TFL |
Turnover Plays |
Sacks |
PBU's |
Serdarius Bryant |
70 |
10.5 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
Cody Prewitt |
70 |
4 |
6 |
0 |
7 |
Tony Connor |
59 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
Trae Elston |
59 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Mike Marry |
49 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Mike Hilton |
48 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
Team Stats |
OM (FBS Rank) |
GT (FBS Rank) |
Total Yards |
21st |
40th |
Passing Yards |
24th |
118th |
Rushing Yards |
43rd |
5th |
Scoring Offense |
60th |
23rd |
Points Against |
41st |
30th |
Rushing Defense |
53rd |
9th |
Passing Defense |
46th |
84th |
Total Defense |
43rd |
21st |
Turnover Margin |
tied 60th |
tied 78th |
Pass Defense Efficiency |
45th |
81st |
First Downs Offense |
30th |
tied 56th |
3rd Down Conversions |
27th |
4th |
Looking at the Jackets, one must wonder if their discrepancy on defense between the run and pass is a function of facing a run heavy offense in practice. I also haven't looked at their box scores this season, but such figures might also be a function of their lead margins and the down-and-distance their opponents face on 2nd and 3rd downs. The Georgia Tech secondary has been very opportunistic in forcing interceptions, a lot of which has to do with the pressure placed on opposing quarterbacks by of this has to do with Jeremiah Attaochu who leads the Jackets with 12 sacks and 15.5 TFL's.
Keys for a Rebel win:
- Offensive line must control the line of scrimmage (Laremy Tunsil playing against Attaochu is crucial for the Rebels - we do not yet know how his knee is holding up in practices, but we're not optimistic).
- The Rebel offense needs to play with balance and score early to force Georgia Tech to play from behind.
- The defense must play very disciplined and control their gaps to contain what is a potent option rushing attack. Ideally, Dave Wommack's familiarity with GT (he was the DC there for the 2008 and 2009 seasons) will help here.