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Statistical Preview - Ole Miss vs. LSU

As always, thanks are in order for Fit4LifeLLC for his statistics and commentary.

Odell Beckham Jr. is a bad, bad man.
Odell Beckham Jr. is a bad, bad man.
Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sport

The Ole Miss Rebels will have another top-10 opponent invade Oxford this Saturday in the No. 6 LSU Tigers.  The Tigers were flying a bit under the radar earlier this season in terms of SEC and National Title talks. To many, it was a foregone conclusion that Alabama and Texas A&M would battle it out for the SEC West. These folks probably also thought that Mizzou was gonna suck this year. (This is why predicting a football season is an obviously worthless endeavor that we all do anyway because it's fun and kinda stupid.)

Anyway, much of this discussion had to do with the losses on the defensive side of the ball from last year's LSU team. Also contributing to that conversation was the inconsistent play of Zach Mettenberger and the LSU wide receivers. Insert Cam Cameron, former NFL Head Coach and Offensive Coordinator, and Mettenberger, Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. have come together to form a very potent Tiger passing attack. Jeremy Hill leads an LSU running game that is very deep at running back and will be facing a razor thin Rebel defense.  he Tigers go about four deep at the tailback spot and their offense is predicated by using power running to help set the play action pass. Seems like a simple and effective gameplan for LSU, especially against the injured Rebel front.

The Tiger defense seems to be a work in progress trying to replace the talent and game experience lost last season to early draft entries and graduation. That said, the talent is there as the Tigers have consistently recruiting among the nations elite and the Rebel offense will have their work cut out for them this Saturday.

In last years match up, the Rebels gave the Tigers some problems when they were able to get into their "tempo" offense. The Rebels ultimately fell short by a score of 41-35 in a game that many did not see being anywhere near that close. Once again the Rebels seemed to be in control until Billy Cannon invaded Odell Beckham's body and took a punt back for a TD, helping the Tigers seize momentum and the game. This year, Vegas has the line around a 7.5 point spread. The Tigers have a 3-2 edge in games played the last 5 years and have won the last three. The LSU/Ole Miss rivalry does not get the national press that it once did but, as many fans can attest, strange things seem to happen in this game. Hopefully, these strange things will benefit the Rebs this time.

Our keys to game this week:

  1. The Rebels front seven must play well against the power run game and keep the Tigers in 3rd and long. This will be particularly difficult considering the injury situation up front.
  2. The Rebels offense must stay on schedule and limit predictable passing situations.
  3. The Rebels must make the plays this week. You can't beat a top 10 team with penalties, dropped passes, and missed opportunites to score.

LSU Passing Leaders
Name Comp/Att Yards Int TDs Comp % Effeciency
Zach Mettenberger 116/174 1890 2 15 66.7 184.1
Anthony Jennings 1/1/2013 11 0 0 100 192.4

LSU Rushing Leaders
Name Attempts Yards TDs Average/Game Long
Jeremy Hill 98 715 9 119.2 69
Terrance Magee 40 251 3 35.9 52
Alfred Blue 44 212 1 30.3 17
Kenny Hilliard 39 164 5 23.4 34

LSU Receiving Leaders
Name Receptions Yards TDs Average/Game Long
Jarvis Landry 46 674 7 96.3 39
Odell Beckham 37 733 6 104.7 49
Jeremy Hill 8 87 0 14.5 30
Travin Dural 4 78 0 13 36

LSU Offense LSU Defense
Scoring 290 154
First Downs 160 135
Rushing Yardage 1359 1068
Passing Yardage 1901 1374
Total Offense 3260 2442
Total Plays 452 473
Average Per Play 7.2 5.2

OM Offense OM Defense
Scoring 174 167
First Downs 139 129
Rushing Yardage 1053 1120
Passing Yardage 1548 1274
Total Offense 2601 2394
Total Plays 457 427
Average Per Play 5.7 5.6

Turnovers 9 8
Punting 24 for 1096 yards 21 for 842 yards
Time of Possession 27:28:00 29:45:00
3rd Conversion % 36/88 (41%) 47/81 (58%)
4th Conversion % 10/19 (53%) 2/4 (50%)
Sacks For 6 for 31 yards 14 for 105 yards
FG 7 for 9 8 for 8
Red Zone Scoring 18/22 (82%) 30/34 (88%)
Penalties 32 for 266 yards 48 for 367 yards