FanPost

Ole Miss Rebels vs La Salle Explorers: Four Factors Preview

Jamie Squire

Here's how the 12-seed Rebels (27-8) match up with the 13-seed La Salle Explorers (23-9) using the Four Factors. (Conference Rank in Parentheses)

Ole Miss O La Salle D La Salle O Ole Miss D
eFG% 49.1% (138) 49.3% (200) 52.0% (50) 46.1% (72)
TO% 15.8% (8) 21.7% (78) 17.2% (30) 21.6% (82)
OR% 33.8% (101) 33.3% (243) 29.2% (252) 31.9% (167)
FTR

39.0 (87)

28.8 (31) 31.4 (285) 31.0 (65)

The Rebels try for a school record 28th win and a second ever trip to the Sweet 16 tomorrow evening here in KC. On paper at least, this seems to be a favorable match up for the Rebels, particularly Reginald Buckner and Murphy Holloway. While La Salle does an excellent job guarding the perimeter, opponents shoot 50.2% and score 64.3% of points on 2-pointers. La Salle also struggles rebounding the ball as evidenced by the numbers above. Yesterday against KState, they played one guy 6-8. Everyone else was 6-6 or shorter.

If Buckner shows up focused like he has during the current 6-game winning streak, this is a game in which he can dominate. On offense, the Explorers get a lot of shots blocked and rely heavily on the 3. If we will play the same attacking, active D that bottled up Wisconsin yesterday, La Salle will likely have similar struggles scoring. They had tired legs yesterday in the second half and that's a bad omen for a jump shooting team.

AK's game planning has been outstanding during this winning streak, and I don't see that stopping now. This is an easy plan - pound the ball inside on offense and guard the perimeter on D. Use Marshall Henderson as a decoy on offense early on while Buck and Murph go to work. Once the Explorers are battered and bruised, bury them under a barrage of Marshall Madness.

Predictions:

Ole Miss 74 La Salle 56

A focused Rebel team plays one of its best games of the year

Double doubles for Buck and Murph

Offensive eFG% of 55.0%+, defensive eFG% of <40,0%

HDT

(As always, rankings pulled from kenpom.com, quite possibly the coolest site on the whole wide intertubes... Red Cup Rebellion excluded of course)

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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