FanPost

Ole Miss @ Coastal Carolina: Four Factors Preview

Here's how the Rebels (1-0) match up with the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (1-1) using the Four Factors. (National Rank in Parentheses)

OM O CCU D CCU O OM D
eFG% 38.9% (311) 48.3% (153) 44.1% (258) 38.8% (24)
TO% 17.8% (166) 23.1% (43) 27.2% (332) 22.3% (53)
OR% 48.1% (8) 38.9% (274) 38.5% (69) 27.0% (83)
FTR 31.9 (277) 44.1 (189) 30.5 (285) 51.0 (243)

For a second straight season, the Rebels and the Chanticleers will battle it out on the hardwood, this time in Conway, NC. The Rebels won easily last year 90-72, but a lot of key players from last year’s game are gone from both sides.

Clearly, we are too early in the season to read too much into these numbers. The Rebels have played only one game, and they did so without the services of Marshall Henderson. CCU has played two games, losing @Akron and easily beating something called Guilford. The numbers aren't completely meaningless though. The number that jumps out the most is that CCU has turned the ball over on 27.2% of its possessions through 2 games. 17.2% of those possessions end in a steal, which equates to fastbreak opportunities.

Freshman guard Elijah Wilson leads CCU in scoring with 15.5 ppg. Sophomore forward Michel Enanga is next with 11.0 ppg. The Rebs will have a formidable size advantage down low as only 6-10, 240 lb. El Hadji Ndieguene is listed at taller than 6-7 and has received significant playing time.

Obviously, this is a game the Rebels should win. Jarvis Summers was fantastic in the first half against Troy and really took the pressure off everyone else. Our post players did what they needed to do last game, combining for 18 points and 26 rebounds. With Henderson’s return Saturday night, Aaron Jones, Demarco Cox, and Sebastian Saiz should all have more room to work on offense. They were all effective against Troy and have a chance to build on that performance against CCU.

(Sure to be terribly, terribly wrong) Predictions:

Ole Miss 78, CCU 64

Shockingly, Marshall Henderson is not shy about shooting in his first game of the season, goes 5/9 on 3s, finishes with game high 22 points

The Rebels rebound well again this game, finish with an OR% of 40%+ for a second straight game

Sebastian Saiz finishes with 10 points, 8 rebounds

(As always, the conference rankings pulled from kenpom.com, quite possibly the coolest site on the whole wide intertubes... Red Cup Rebellion excluded of course)

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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