FanPost

Advance Stats: LSU

Sorry that I've been absent with this. I promise that I'm not skipping the losses - I kept up with this through 2-10; I can handle losing to the stretch we just faced. I've just been swamped at work.

Here are some stats:

Success Rates

Quarter

Ole Miss

LSU

1

36.4%

53.8%

2

45.0%

64.7%

3

73.7%

60.0%

4

47.8%

44.4%

Total

50.0%

55.9%

You can see that we were really rolling in the 3rd quarter. Also, it was the turnovers that kept us in the game in the first half. Without the 3 picks, it is very probably that we would have been down, maybe by multiple scores at half time. We turned that around in the second half by winning the success rate, but losing on the scoreboard due to two fumbles and a missed FG.

Ole Miss

LSU

Running

50.0%

68.8%

Passing

50.0%

44.4%

Another way of wondering why LSU didn't run the ball on every down. They were really hurting us with the run, but were forced to abandon it somewhat due to the 17 point hole. Still, you have to wonder how the game would have gone if they would have stuck with the run and wore our defense down.

Based on this, you have to look at the opening drive of the second half where the defense forced a 3-and-out to set up the 17 point lead - that made it possible to get the 3rd quarter half way over before LSU was able to score at all and possibly made it seem like they didn't have enough time for the ground and pound.

Ole Miss

LSU

Standard

53.7%

60.4%

Passing

37.1%

42.9%

LSU was a little better all night. A lot of credit goes to many people on the team that was able to turn that into a win despite being even in turnovers (I count a missed FG as a turnover)


YPP

# of Wide Outs

Ole Miss

LSU

0

1.0

1

1.0

4.7

2

1.5

4.8

3

5.1

9.0

4

6.4

5.6

5

9.8

-16.0

Dr. Bo had a surgeon's precision. The more WRs he had on the field to spread out the LSU defense, the better he was. LSU had the best yard per play with 3 WRs where they could hurt us through the air or the ground. 4 WRs were better than 2, but that may not tell the whole story. Look at the success rates. Dave Womack talked about being thankful that LSU stayed in the 21 (2 backs, 1TE, 2 WR) formation most of the night because we matched up much better against that than 3 and 4 wide. Once again, as long as LSU has Les Miles as their coach, I'm not afraid of them.

# of Wide Outs

Ole Miss

LSU

0

100.0%

1

100.0%

73.3%

2

50.0%

54.5%

3

47.2%

50.0%

4

48.4%

37.5%

5

64.3%

0.0%

Despite having a better per play average due to big plays, LSU was better at moving the chains when they had the bigs on the field.

Dave Womack talked about being thankful that LSU stayed in the 21 (2 backs, 1TE, 2 WR) formation most of the night because we matched up much better against that than 3 and 4 wide. That's probably still the case, but our defense caused more inconsistency in the LSU offense when they tried to spread us out. Again, it probably points to the fact that LSU could have won the game if they stuck with the run game.

Our success rate mirrors the per play average with the best success coming with 5 wides.

Targets

Player

Targets

Catches

Yards

Catch Rate

YPT

YPC

Donte Moncrief

10

5

107

50.0%

10.7

21.4

Ja-Mes Logan

7

7

65

100.0%

9.3

9.3

Laquon Treadwell

7

7

43

100.0%

6.1

6.1

Jaylen Walton

3

3

24

100.0%

8.0

8.0

Quincy Adeboyejo

3

1

2

33.3%

0.7

2.0

Vince Sanders

2

2

49

100.0%

24.5

24.5

Evan Engram

2

2

28

100.0%

14.0

14.0

Jordan Holder

2

2

28

100.0%

14.0

14.0

Nicholas Parker

1

1

3

100.0%

3.0

3.0

I'Tavius Mathers

1

1

0

100.0%

0.0

0.0

Lots of balls went to Donte Moncrief and he was certainly our big play threat, but Logan and Treadwell were our most consistent pass catchers.

Standard Downs

Player

Targets

Catches

Yards

Catch Rate

YPT

YPC

Laquon Treadwell

6

6

44

100.0%

7.3

7.3

Ja-Mes Logan

3

3

18

100.0%

6.0

6.0

Donte Moncrief

3

2

33

66.7%

11.0

16.5

Quincy Adeboyejo

2

1

2

50.0%

1.0

2.0

Vince Sanders

1

1

33

100.0%

33.0

33.0

Evan Engram

1

1

22

100.0%

22.0

22.0

Jaylen Walton

1

1

7

100.0%

7.0

7.0

Nicholas Parker

1

1

3

100.0%

3.0

3.0

Passing Downs

Player

Targets

Catches

Yards

Catch Rate

YPT

YPC

Donte Moncrief

7

3

74

42.9%

10.6

24.7

Ja-Mes Logan

4

4

47

100.0%

11.8

11.8

Jordan Holder

2

2

28

100.0%

14.0

14.0

Jaylen Walton

2

2

17

100.0%

8.5

8.5

Vince Sanders

1

1

16

100.0%

16.0

16.0

Evan Engram

1

1

6

100.0%

6.0

6.0

I'Tavius Mathers

1

1

0

100.0%

0.0

0.0

Laquon Treadwell

1

1

-1

100.0%

-1.0

-1.0

Quincy Adeboyejo

1

0

0.0%

0.0

0.0

Logan was doing some nice work on passing downs. I saw several cases where Moncrief cleared out a zone by going deep and Sanders or Logan would cut out underneath him. I think LSU was paying a lot of attention to Moncrief in an effort to keep him from beating them.

OL Yards

The OL had a really nice day only allowing a sack % of 6.8% and opening up holes for 3.3 OL Yards per Carry. An OL yard is anything that a RB picks up to the first 4 yards. The yards are split between the OL and the RB between 5 and 10 yards. After that, the thought is that the RB had to do something special to create yardage beyond 10 yards. Therefore the RB is given full credit for those yards or highlight yards.

HL Yards

Carries

HL YPC

Jaylen Walton

36

19

1.9

I'Tavius Mathers

10.5

12

0.9

Bo Wallace

6.5

8

0.8

Barry Brunetti

0

1

0.0

Incredible night by Jaylen Walton. I didn't think he had that in him, but he really showed up on a national stage.

Still busy at work so I had to throw this together quickly. Feel free to ask any questions and I will do my best to answer. I've got good data.



This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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