FanPost

Advanced Stats: Texas

You want analysis from the Texas game? How about this: Texas has better players than Ole Miss.

You begin to see the disparity in the leverage numbers. (This is a stat of keeping on schedule, think of it as a 3rd down conversion rate for all downs)

Texas

Ole Miss

Q1

46.2%

40.9%

Q2

81.0%

50.0%

Q3

68.0%

33.3%

Q4

61.1%

27.3%

Total

66.2%

39.1%

We hung with them a little in the 1Q, and had a good 2Q on offense. However, they went bananas in the 2Q and we were down by 3 TDs at that point. They kept going and we faltered as the game went on. I wonder if this is a product of our lack of depth or if we gave up a little. I really didn't see much "give-up" in the team - I think this is a product of Ole Miss wearing out. This stat and the fact that we lost it will permeate throughout all the rest.

More after the jump:

PLAY CALLING

Our defense did not do a good job of forcing Texas into passing situations and it allowed Texas much more flexibility in play calling. Even when we were able to force a passing down, Texas still ran the ball 50% of the time. We simply could not stop the run game.

Run Percentage

Standard

Passing

Texas

75.4%

50.0%

Ole Miss

62.5%

16.7%

Ole Miss, on the other hand was forced into many passing situations and after running the ball more often than the nation average in passing situations last week, we relied heavily on the pass against Texas. Maybe that's a product of not being able to handle their DL or maybe it was due to longer down and distances faces (all passing downs are not created equal). The national average for run % on standard downs last year was 60% and 33.3% for passing downs.

QB PLAY

All

Completions

Attempts

Yards

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

Wallace

13

24

178

1

3

5

17.2%

105.22

Brunetti

4

6

51

0

0

0

0.0%

138.07

On the face of it, these numbers don't look that bad. Efficiency rates of over 100 aren't terrible. The sack percentage is a cause for concern, but we seemed to address that at half time, we gave up 5 sacks in the first half, none in the second. Wallace did much better when we could stay ahead of the chains and have standard downs.

Standard

Completions

Attempts

Yards

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

Wallace

9

13

132

1

1

1

7.1%

164.52

Brunetti

0

1

0

0

0

0

0.0%

0.00

We only gave up 1 sack on a standard down and had good passing numbers.

Passing

Completions

Attempts

Yards

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

Wallace

4

11

46

0

2

4

26.7%

35.13

Brunetti

4

5

51

0

0

0

0.0%

165.68

Wallace fell apart in obvious passing situations. The Texas DL was able to get pressure (27% sack rate) and there was nowhere to go with the ball. Brunetti did well in his time, but most of that is the long toss to Moncrief.

WR TARGETS

Targets

Catches

Yards

TDs

Moncrief

8

7

144

1

Mosley

5

3

9

0

Neat

5

4

57

0

Mackey

2

1

0

0

Sanders

2

1

11

0

Scott

1

0

0

0

Allen

1

1

8

0

Moore

1

0

0

0

Moncrief was an absolute beast - one of the best players on the field. He was two questionable calls away from having about 250 yards and 3 TDs. The most impressive thing to me was his ability to run away from the Texas secondary after the catch - Jeff Scott wasn't able to do that. We've got a great one. Based on the fact that he caught 7 or 8 passes in his direction, you have to wonder why we didn't go his way even more often?

Neat had a nice night and we came back to the TE against Texas, but they were ready for it and shut it down. Missing from the targets was Ja-Mes Logan. I saw him play some, but he did not have a ball come his way Saturday. Whether it is Logan, Sanders, or maybe Collins Moore, we really need another threat at WR to step up.

In terms of passing vs standard downs, Moncrief was great in both. He had 4 catches on 5 targets for 96 yards and a TD on standard downs, 3 catches on 3 targets for 48 yards on passing downs. Neat had the long catch on 3rd and long and Vince Sanders had a nice catch early in the game to pick up a first. Outside of that, it was all Moncrief on passing downs.

For the year, it looks like this:

All

Total

86

60

767

7

69.8%

8.9

12.8

100.0%

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

Catch Rate

YPT

YPC

% of Targets

Moncrief

22

18

320

3

81.8%

14.5

17.8

25.6%

Neat

17

14

151

0

82.4%

8.9

10.8

19.8%

Mosley

10

7

88

1

70.0%

8.8

12.6

11.6%

Mackey

7

5

20

0

71.4%

2.9

4.0

8.1%

Logan

6

6

47

0

100.0%

7.8

7.8

7.0%

Allen

5

3

33

0

60.0%

6.6

11.0

5.8%

Scott

3

1

2

0

33.3%

0.7

2.0

3.5%

Sanders

3

2

24

0

66.7%

8.0

12.0

3.5%

Walton

2

1

51

1

50.0%

25.5

51.0

2.3%

Moore

2

1

25

1

50.0%

12.5

25.0

2.3%

Greer

1

1

3

1

100.0%

3.0

3.0

1.2%

Mathers

1

1

3

0

100.0%

3.0

3.0

1.2%

Standard

Total

54

40

424

3

74.1%

7.9

10.6

100.0%

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

Catch Rate

YPT

YPC

% of Targets

Moncrief

15

11

145

1

73.3%

9.7

13.2

27.8%

Neat

13

12

102

0

92.3%

7.8

8.5

24.1%

Logan

5

5

42

0

100.0%

8.4

8.4

9.3%

Allen

5

3

33

0

60.0%

6.6

11.0

9.3%

Mackey

4

3

21

0

75.0%

5.3

7.0

7.4%

Mosley

3

2

12

1

66.7%

4.0

6.0

5.6%

Sanders

2

1

13

0

50.0%

6.5

13.0

3.7%

Walton

2

1

51

1

50.0%

25.5

51.0

3.7%

Scott

1

1

2

0

100.0%

2.0

2.0

1.9%

Mathers

1

1

3

0

100.0%

3.0

3.0

1.9%

Moore

0

0

0

0

0.0%

0.0

0.0

0.0%

Greer

0

0

0

0

0.0%

0.0

0.0

0.0%

Passing

Total

32

20

341

5

62.5%

10.7

17.1

100.0%

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

Catch Rate

YPT

YPC

% of Targets

Moncrief

7

7

175

2

100.0%

25.0

25.0

21.9%

Mosley

7

5

76

1

71.4%

10.9

15.2

21.9%

Neat

4

2

47

0

50.0%

11.8

23.5

12.5%

Mackey

3

2

-1

0

66.7%

-0.3

-0.5

9.4%

Scott

2

0

0

0

0.0%

0.0

0.0

6.3%

Moore

2

1

25

1

50.0%

12.5

25.0

6.3%

Logan

1

1

5

0

100.0%

5.0

5.0

3.1%

Sanders

1

1

11

0

100.0%

11.0

11.0

3.1%

Greer

1

1

3

1

100.0%

3.0

3.0

3.1%

Allen

0

0

0

0

0.0%

0.0

0.0

0.0%

Walton

0

0

0

0

0.0%

0.0

0.0

0.0%

Mathers

0

0

0

0

0.0%

0.0

0.0

0.0%

OL AND RB PLAY

In this stat, the OL is 100% responsible for the yards gained up to 4, the OL and the RB split the yardage between 5-10, and the RB gets all the credit for yardage gained after 10 yards.

As you would expect, the OL did not have a great night against Texas. The rush stats aren't terrible, with the OL averaging 3.5 OL yards per carry. The sack rate of 17.2% is way too high though - that really set the tone early in the game.

Carries

HL Yards

HLYPC

Scott

8

60.0

7.5

Wallace

7

15.5

2.2

Mathers

3

8.0

2.7

Brunetti

4

7.5

1.9

Mackey

6

3.5

0.6

Walton

1

0.0

0.0

Total

29

94.5

3.3

Jeff Scott showed his big play ability again and led this stat. He's proving to be our best playmaker behind Moncrief. Again, though, he only got 8 carries. You have to wonder what he could have done with double that.

For the year, you see Scott leading the way again. We need to get more production out of our RB position.

Total

Carries

Total

HLYPC

Scott

20

109.5

5.5

Wallace

29

72.0

2.5

Mackey

32

43.0

1.3

Brunetti

13

32.0

2.5

Mathers

10

23.5

2.4

Walton

6

15.0

2.5

Miller

2

3.5

1.8

Parker

3

0.0

0.0

Thomas

1

0.0

0.0

All in all, I guess this game went pretty much how I expected it to go. I didn't expect to give up 66 points, but I guess that's one product of the hurry up that we run - even when we're scoring, we give better teams that many more opportunities to score. I thought we would lose all week, but after about 7 hours in the grove, I told a buddy we were going to win. I was still lucid enough to qualify it with the following needs:

  • 1) We had to win the turnover margin
  • 2) We had to have some big plays
  • 3) We had to stop the run and force David Ash to beat us
  • 4) We needed David Ash to be 2011 David Ash

1 out of 4. That equals 66 to 31. It would have been interesting to see the game without the two early INTs. I think it would have still been close at the half, but all the stats say that we just weren't good enough in any face of the game. At least we don't play anyone better than that for the rest of the year next week.

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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