FanPost

Advanced Stats: UTEP

[Numbers. I like them. Me and Paul likes them. We hope you like them too. Here's another excellent in depth look at Ole Miss' performance from this past weekend.]

I was able to knock most of this out on Sunday, meaning that there are now a few discrepancies with the official stats though. I guess the SID reviewed the tape and changed two plays from runs to passes. I know one was Macky's tap pass to Neat. It was a 2 yard and a 0 yard pass so I didn't go back and change everything, but I did change it when I game across the discrepancy under "targets vs catches".

Anyway, talk amoungst yourselves. I'll give you a topic: Ole Miss Rebel football stats. They're after the jump.

QB and Play Calling

On Standard Downs, we ran the ball 34 times out of 54 opportunities for 67%. Last year, the national average was 60%. On Passing downs, we ran the ball 11 out of 18 times for 61%. Last year, the national average was 33%. Freeze must have really felt good about running the ball against UTEP, and a 7.5 yard per carry justifies that strategy. Remember, standard downs are 1st and 10, 2nd and 6, or 3rd and 3 or anything better. A passing down is anything worse than that.

I think it’s now clear that Wallace is the clear cut number one option at QB, so I don’t think it makes much sense to track his performance vs Brunetti any longer. I did keep up with the success rate for each team by quarter.

Ole Miss

UTEP

1Q

30%

31%

2Q

73%

65%

3Q

42%

39%

4Q

78%

25%

Total

59%

40%

It’s interesting to see how poorly we did in the first quarter. Basically, we had the big touchdown pass play to Moncreif and not much else. Also, you see that UTEP really kept up with us in the 2nd quarter; they just had a few disastrous plays inside the 10 yard line. Despite losing the 3rd quarter 10-0, we kept up with UTEP in leverage – the product of UTEP being given some short fields due to turnovers. Then we really take over the final frame.

One other thing is that we didn’t seem to run as much up tempo stuff as we did against UCA. Against UCA, we ran 78 plays, verses only 69 against UTEP. Big plays can lessen your overall number and that may be the cause of it, but we just didn’t seem to hurry to the line like we did vs UCA except for one stretch in the 3rd quarter. That was to answer a score, so maybe Freeze was just saving it for Texas?

Wallace’s passing numbers by situation are:

All

Completions

Attempts

Yards

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

Wallace

15

22

174

3

0

1

4.3%

179.62

Standard

Completions

Attempts

Yards

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

Wallace

12

15

111

1

0

1

6.3%

164.16

Passing

Completions

Attempts

Yards

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

Wallace

3

7

63

2

0

0

0.0%

212.74

As you would expect, Wallace is more efficient on standard downs when the defense is having to prepare for both the threat of the run and the pass. Actual passer efficiency is higher in passing downs for Wallace due to the 2 TDs and the big play to Moncreif.

Wallace for the year:

All

Completions

Attempts

Yards

Completion %

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

UCA

20

24

264

83.3%

2

1

2

7.7%

194.90

UTEP

15

22

174

68.2%

3

0

1

4.3%

179.62

Total

35

46

438

76.1%

5

1

3

6.1%

187.59

Standard

Completions

Attempts

Yards

Completion %

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

UCA

13

17

126

76.5%

0

1

1

5.6%

126.96

UTEP

12

15

111

80.0%

1

0

1

6.3%

164.16

Total

25

32

237

78.1%

1

1

2

5.9%

144.40

Passing

Completions

Attempts

Yards

Completion %

TD

INT

Sacks

Sack %

Eff

UCA

7

7

138

100.0%

2

0

1

12.5%

359.89

UTEP

3

7

63

42.9%

2

0

0

0.0%

212.74

Total

10

14

201

71.4%

4

0

1

6.7%

286.31

WR Targets

All

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

Moncrief

5

3

72

1

Mackey

3

2

14

0

Logan

5

5

44

0

Neat

6

4

19

0

Walton

1

1

51

1

Mathers

1

1

3

0

Scott

2

1

2

0

Mosley

1

0

0

0

Greer

1

1

3

1

Total

25

18

208

3

Moncreif, Neat, and Logan were our top three options against UTEP. After having a combined 10 targets in the opening game, the TEs were only targeted once against UTEP. Really, the passing game can be boiled down to the big play to Moncreif and the wheel route to Walton – those two plays accounted for 106 of our 208 passing yards. This game seemed to have a different feel to the offensive game plan. We were more geared towards the run and didn’t throw the ball down the field as much. Yards per target fell from 11 to 8.3 – that may have had something to do with the level of competition.

Standard

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

Moncrief

4

2

17

0

Mackey

2

2

14

0

Logan

4

4

39

0

Neat

5

4

19

0

Walton

1

1

51

0

Mathers

1

1

3

0

Scott

1

1

2

0

Mosley

0

0

0

0

Greer

0

0

0

0

Total

18

15

145

0

Passing

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

Moncrief

1

1

55

1

Mackey

1

0

0

0

Logan

1

1

5

0

Neat

1

0

0

0

Walton

0

0

0

1

Mathers

0

0

0

0

Scott

1

0

0

0

Mosley

1

0

0

0

Greer

1

1

3

1

Total

7

3

63

3

We targeted 7 different players in the 7 passing situations. We did produce 2 TDs out of these, but very little else, the other catch was on a third down that did not produce a first down.

Here are the totals for the year:

Total

56

43

538

6

76.8%

9.6

12.5

100.0%

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

Catch Rate

YPT

YPC

% of Targets

Moncrief

14

11

176

2

78.6%

12.6

16.0

25.0%

Neat

12

10

94

0

83.3%

7.8

9.4

21.4%

Logan

6

6

47

0

100.0%

7.8

7.8

10.7%

Mosley

5

4

79

1

80.0%

15.8

19.8

8.9%

Mackey

5

4

20

0

80.0%

4.0

5.0

8.9%

Allen

4

2

25

0

50.0%

6.3

12.5

7.1%

Walton

2

1

51

1

50.0%

25.5

51.0

3.6%

Scott

2

1

2

0

50.0%

1.0

2.0

3.6%

Sanders

1

1

13

0

100.0%

13.0

13.0

1.8%

Moore

1

1

25

1

100.0%

25.0

25.0

1.8%

Greer

1

1

3

1

100.0%

3.0

3.0

1.8%

Mathers

1

1

3

0

100.0%

3.0

3.0

1.8%

OL & Running Backs

The idea for this stat is the OL is 100% responsible for running plays up to 4 yards, the OL and the RB split the credit for runs 5-10 yards, and the RB gets 100% of the credit for the yardage after that, highlight yards. I guess a perfect night for the OL would be an average of 7 yards per carry. They got 188 yards on 45 carries for an average of 4.2 yards – very impressive.

Highlight Yards

Carries

HLYPC

Neat

32.0

1

32.0

Scott

49.5

12

4.1

Walton

12.0

3

4.0

Mathers

8.0

3

2.7

Mackey

26.5

11

2.4

Wallace

18.5

11

1.7

Brunetti

0.5

2

0.3

Parker

0.0

1

0.0

Neat’s big play aside, you can see Scott and Walton’s explosiveness here – they seem to do a little more than Mackey. So far, that is carried through to the total numbers as well.

Carries

Total

HLYPC

Scott

12

49.5

4.1

Walton

5

15.0

3.0

Brunetti

9

24.5

2.7

Wallace

22

56.5

2.6

Mathers

7

15.5

2.2

Miller

2

3.5

1.8

Mackey

26

39.5

1.5

Parker

3

0.0

0.0

Thomas

1

0.0

0.0

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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