Statistical Analysis: Vanderbilt

Frederick Breedon

How do the Ole Miss Rebels stack up against the Vanderbilt Commodores.

[ED: Methodology and ideas behind this? Click here.]

In this matchup of a pair of middling SEC teams on the verge of bowl eligibility, we will see a classic matchup of an offensively oriented team facing a defensively oriented team. The numbers look something like this:

CATEGORY Raw Vandy Raw OM "Betterness" Ratio Advantage:
Scoring O 25.4 29.9 1.18 Ole Miss
Total O 385.1 408.2 1.06 Ole Miss
Scoring D 17.1 27.8 0.62 Vandy
Total D 316.2 387.7 0.82 Vandy
Rush O 172.9 177.9 1.03 Ole Miss
Rush D 164.3 148.1 1.11 Ole Miss
Pass O 212.2 230.3 1.09 Ole Miss
Pass D 151.9 239.6 0.63 Vandy
Pass E 135.5 139.6 1.03 Ole Miss
Pass ED 99.6 142.5 0.70 Vandy
Sacks 20 27 1.35 Ole Miss
Sacks Against 18 26 0.69 Vandy
3rd Down 33.8 45.7 1.35 Ole Miss
Opp 3rd Down 30.8 42.3 0.73 Vandy
Penalties 44.9 34.7 1.29 Ole Miss
Red Zone O 71.9 93.3 1.30 Ole Miss
Red Zone D 77.8 75.8 1.03 Ole Miss

Graphically, that looks something like this:

Screen_shot_2012-11-08_at_8

Also of note, Ole Miss' turnover margin is at 0, whereas Vanderbilt's is at -4.

Looking at this, the only conclusion I can reach is that something has got to give this Saturday. Both of our teams' advantages play against each other. We have a better scoring offense, they have a better scoring defense. We have a beter total offense, they have a better total defense. We have the better pass offense, they have the better pass defense. We have more sacks, they give up fewer sacks. We're better at converting third downs, they're better at stopping third down conversions.

Seeing this and considering what these programs have on the line, I think this should be a close one.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Red Cup Rebellion

You must be a member of Red Cup Rebellion to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Red Cup Rebellion. You should read them.

Join Red Cup Rebellion

You must be a member of Red Cup Rebellion to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Red Cup Rebellion. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker