FanPost

Ole Miss Rebel Baseball Sabermetrics: #1 USC

Better late than never.  Maybe.  Pretty depressing looking at Florida and USC back to back when we should be playing at that level, and at least seem competitive against them.  I'm posting this anyway; didn't get a chance to get on here and add a little dialogue though I had the stats uploaded already.  USC is just solid, top to bottom, but led by star first baseman Christian Walker.

USC POS AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
Thomas C .317 .394 .460 .854 116 .386 .382 17.2
Walker 1B .373 .456 .627 1.083 173 .474 .466 10.3
Wingo 2B .310 .450 .437 .887 126 .411 .407 11.2
Morales 3B .297 .429 .432 .861 119 .376 .373 10.9
Mooney SS .289 .403 .396 .799 103 .361 .360 10.1
Williams OF .287 .351 .443 .793 101 .348 .344 11.1
Marzilli OF .260 .352 .341 .694 76 .341 .340 24.8
Beary OF .284 .356 .405 .761 93 .341 .337 11.2
USC
.294 .392 .439 .832 111 .362 .358 14.4
Ole Miss
.279 .355 .402 .758 92 .332 .334 17.7
SEC
.290 .375 .414 .789 100 .345 .345 15.8

 

They use their rotation in a very interesting way, to me.  They have Roth as an Ace; but their Saturday and Sunday starters have not been that great, but they use another stopper to come in, John Taylor - seems like they use him as a setup man for their closer, Matt Price.  Overall they have a pretty dominant staff, as you can see.

USC ERA ERA+ K/9 BB/9 WHIP WILD BABIP FIP+ DICE HR/9 BAA OBA SGA
Roth 1.24 308 8.1 2.2 1.32 3.2 .270 3.62 2.50 0.23 .206 .272 .269
Holmes 3.86 99 8.7 2.3 1.30 3.3 .270 4.72 4.05 1.35 .230 .295 .402
Koumas 2.93 130 7.8 2.9 1.45 5.3 .275 2.54 3.80 0.59 .212 .317 .301
Taylor 0.82 467 9.4 2.9 1.61 4.5 .232 3.18 2.41 0.00 .158 .266 .178
Price 1.97 194 12.7 2.5 1.43 3.4 .313 2.56 1.63 0.28 .191 .264 .264
Neff 2.70 142 7.1 2.4 1.37 4.1 .275 1.93 2.78 0.00 .211 .304 .222
Webb 2.88 133 7.2 4.0 1.46 4.7 .311 3.79 3.36 0.36 .253 .336 .337
USC 2.59 147 8.3 3.2 1.45 4.7 .285
3.28 0.46 .220 .311 .297
Ole Miss 4.18 91 7.4 3.2 1.42 4.4 .333
3.20 0.53 .275 .343 .383
SEC 3.82 100 7.6 4.0 1.43 4.6 .317
3.33 0.52 .259 .334 .355

We've already lost the Friday night game, and it looks bad for us for the rest of the weekend too.  

I have the park factors and schedule factors on my laptop, but they actually weigh in slightly downgraded overall, their schedule has been tough but  their home park is apparently very much a hitters park.  Which may mean their staff is even better than advertised.  

(Disclaimer, I use the wOBA and FIP information from College Splits)

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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