State seems to be hitting the ball better since we last faced them three weeks ago in Pearl. The largest increase is in slugging percentage leading them to just over 100 OPS+ when they were just under 100 before the Governor's Cup (And the difference is a little more marked than first glance as they received a boost to compare to the NCAA as a whole which I have moved away from for now). Parks is still crushing the ball; one of the things I hope to do is probably not going to be done this year, but I'd like to formulate my own WAR system for the SEC. He is certainly by all standards one of the best players in the SEC, but I'd like to compare players across the board in the future (Such as with Yarbrough, Mahtook, and other standouts.)
The biggest change for them positively is that Vickerson has moved from average OPS to well above league averages with a 131 OPS+. He's quieted down on the basepaths, with only 2 steals over the past 3 weeks, but you don't have to steal when you're hitting the cover off the ball, I reckon.
Our park and combined factors are identical: the combined schedule/park factor for MSU is 100.7 with a park index of 96.4 and a schedule value of 104.6; Ole Miss is at 100.7, 96.4, and 104.2, so we have only played a slightly less difficult schedule. I have also included our stats with (Ole Miss A) and without (Ole Miss B) Matt Smith.
| MSU | POS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | OPS+ | wOBA | wOBA+ | K/PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thigpen | C | .254 | .323 | .316 | .639 | 63 | .296 | .299 | 16.4 |
| Collins | 1B/OF | .274 | .383 | .342 | .725 | 85 | .340 | .345 | 11.2 |
| Norris | 1B | .286 | .412 | .363 | .775 | 98 | .359 | .363 | 19.3 |
| Vickerson | 2B | .312 | .418 | .494 | .912 | 131 | .403 | .407 | 18.0 |
| Parks | 3B | .419 | .554 | .574 | 1.128 | 187 | .501 | .503 | 13.9 |
| Ogden | SS | .263 | .354 | .467 | .821 | 108 | .366 | .368 | 18.7 |
| Bradford | OF | .295 | .385 | .344 | .729 | 86 | .343 | .345 | 7.8 |
| Shepherd | OF | .306 | .434 | .444 | .878 | 123 | .399 | .402 | 15.1 |
| Freeman | DH/C | .313 | .403 | .406 | .809 | 106 | .369 | .371 | 18.1 |
| MSU | .290 | .392 | .397 | .789 | 101 | .350 | .353 | 15.8 | |
| Ole Miss A | .281 | .358 | .408 | .767 | 95 | .335 | .338 | 17.6 | |
| Ole Miss B | .279 | .351 | .400 | .751 | 90 | .328 | .330 | 17.7 | |
| SEC | .290 | .374 | .414 | .788 | 100 | .345 | .345 | 15.8 |
Graveman picked up the win against us mid-week, and we have not seen any of their weekend starters. They have changed them around somewhat it appears with a scheduled rotation of Pollerano, Routt, and Stratton. Pollerano has previously only started one game, Routt missed some time and has started 8, and Stratton has moved from "Friday" to "Sunday" starter which in this case is Thursday and Saturday. Jones and Mitchell have also starter for them. Reed is their closer with 9 saves, and real good peripherals all around. Their pitching staff is nowhere near as dominant as the last two we've faced, but is slightly better than ours for the most part.
| MSU | ERA | ERA+ | K/9 | BB/9 | WHIP | WILD | BABIP | FIP | DICE | HR/9 | BAA | OBA | SGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollerano | 2.61 | 148 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.24 | 4.3 | .288 | 4.33 | 3.21 | 0.24 | .245 | .318 | .301 |
| Routt | 3.66 | 106 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 1.44 | 4.8 | .341 | 3.66 | 3.31 | 0.56 | .273 | .351 | .364 |
| Stratton | 4.84 | 80 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.36 | 4.5 | .337 | 4.08 | 3.34 | 0.76 | .268 | .339 | .398 |
| Graveman | 3.67 | 105 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.10 | 3.0 | .301 | 4.42 | 3.05 | 0.43 | .258 | .306 | .358 |
| Jones | 4.44 | 87 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 1.29 | 5.0 | .321 | 3.50 | 2.84 | 0.18 | .254 | .335 | .343 |
| Reed | 0.88 | 440 | 10.8 | 3.1 | 1.00 | 4.2 | .283 | 2.72 | 2.17 | 0.22 | .193 | .284 | .250 |
| Girodo | 6.04 | 64 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.66 | 5.0 | .372 | 4.31 | 3.79 | 0.71 | .298 | .381 | .433 |
| Mitchell | 4.13 | 94 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.45 | 5.1 | .341 | 3.67 | 2.72 | 0.00 | .274 | .344 | .310 |
| MSU | 4.02 | 96 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 1.37 | 5.2 | .329 | 3.21 | 0.41 | .262 | .346 | .355 | |
| Ole Miss | 4.18 | 92 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.42 | 4.4 | .333 | 3.20 | 0.53 | .275 | .343 | .383 | |
| SEC | 3.86 | 100 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.43 | 4.7 | .317 | 3.43 | 0.53 | .260 | .335 | .357 |
(Disclaimer, I use the wOBA and FIP information from College Splits.)
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