FanPost

OMRB - UGA VS Ole Miss

Well I took the time to do the position by position analysis.  I really dig this stuff so once I get going; it just takes off.  I've based the positions as best I could; ours is a little easier, but you can take Hamblin for example who has played both C and 1B.  So there is some variance for us, and am sure even more for them; based it as much as I could on their most recent series.   I've included the 'slash' stats, OPS, OPS+, and wOBA/wOBA+ from college splits.  They use weighted on-base average; wOBA attempts to measure a player's overall offensive contributions (a home run is worth more than a single).  It is not a derivation from OPS but a separate formula.  They adjust it for park & schedule; Georgia's offensive adjustment was 1.1; ours varied from .9 to .99.  (Tougher schedule for sure; not familiar with their park.)  

I adjusted the OPS based on their adjustments and normalized it to the league.  For non-qualifiers, I used a non-linear weighted average as theirs was 1.1 across the board, and ours had some variance, but won't matter too much in the grand scheme of things.  I also included strikeout per plate appearance.  One of the articles on their main page lists 18% as crucial for MLB prospects.  I've started looking at some historical data, so will include that - plan on doing 05 offense for starters and 03 pitching, I think it was and will post that at a later date.  Italicized numbers are those I derived from the averages.

 

C AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
HAMBLIN .264 .373 .379 .752 87 .343 .338 19.2
HIGHTOWER .324 .367 .402 .769 133 .415 .405 22.7
Stephens .255 .286 .333 .619 58 .267 .294 14.0
Delmonico .275 .279 .325 .604 54 .263 .289 16.3
DeLoach .289 .407 .533 .940 142 .408 .449 22.2

 

 

1B AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
SMITH .330 .447 .538 .985 144 .436 .430 14.9
Hester .258 .303 .441 .744 90 .321 .339 22.0

 

2B AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
YARBROUGH .339 .409 .536 .945 133 .411 .404 12.8
Hyams .328 .397 .441 .811 112 .367 .400 14.4

 

3B AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
OVERBEY .257 .293 .339 .632 56 .284 .273 22.4
Powell .274 .337 .284 .621 59 .292 .309 22.0

 

SS AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
NEWALU .313 .380 .344 .724 80 .337 .329 13.2
Farmer .241 .304 .361 .665 70 .307 .324 11.9

 

OF AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
KIRKSEY .233 .333 .512 .845 107 .359 .350 41.2
MATHIS .358 .410 .408 .818 101 .375 .359 3.6
TRACY .291 .345 .405 .750 84 .344 .336 19.5
KING .174 .269 .196 .465 17 .224 .218 24.5
Welton .278 .381 .333 .714 84 .326 .358 20.9
Cone .299 .348 .364 .712 85 .322 .349 20.9
Verdin .222 .283 .300 .583 49 .268 .286 17.5

 

DH AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
SNYDER .260 .398 .420 .818 104 .371 .366 24.4
Davidson .266 .333 .447 .780 101 .343 .367 30.5
Ruiz* .276 .313 .448 .761 94 .314 .346 15.2

 

Ruiz, I think was a first baseman, but got shuffled in with the DHs.  

Pitching was pretty standard from what I've done.  I've moved the HBP out of the other columns, and included a WILD portion which includes the total number of walks, hit by pitches, and wild pitches on a 9 inning basis.  I'm still working out what I want to do with it, actually.

College Splits includes the same park adjustment/schedule adjustment for pitching.  I used that as I could do produce an ERA+ when compared to the SEC average.  They have a different formula for fielding independent pitching, so I included their adjusted FIP for park/schedule and included my standard DICE component.  

Friday ERA ERA+ K/9 BB/9 WHIP WILD BABIP FIP+ DICE
CROUSE 2.23 187 7.3 0.93 0.89 1.49 .263 4.20 2.63
Wood 3.40 109 8.9 2.3 1.13 3.18 .287 4.44 3.91

 

Saturday ERA ERA+ K/9 BB/9 WHIP WILD BABIP FIP+ DICE
GOFORTH 3.32 119 5.8 3.7 1.34 4.36 .310 4.01 3.55
Pallazzone 2.14 179 6.6 0.58 1.01 0.97 .295 3.60 2.07

 

Sunday ERA ERA+ K/9 BB/9 WHIP WILD BABIP FIP+ DICE
WRIGHT 3.96 100 8.4 3.0 1.34 3.96 .354 3.61 2.82
Gullickson 4.38 87 5.1 3.3 1.62 4.38 .345 4.39 3.61

 

Bullpens ERA ERA+ K/9 BB/9 WHIP WILD BABIP FIP+ DICE
HUBER 2.51 157 7.5 8.2 1.47 10.7 .222
4.05
CALLENDAR 1.65 210 6.6 3.0 1.35 3.31 .362 3.92 3.06
MAYERS 4.43 98 7.5 2.8 1.33 3.54 .317 3.61 2.85
ROTHLIN 3.00 132 8.0 11.0 1.78 11.0 .280
4.89
Dietrich 1.37 253 8.2 2.3 1.22 5.49 .339 3.17 2.39
Maloof 6.00 62 11.3 5.3 1.42 9.75 .346
4.33
Swegman 5.40 72 6.6 9.0 2.00 11.4 .298 4.39 5.60

 Some of the relievers were non-qualifiers so FIP+ was not available and I used a non-weighted average to determine park/schedule factors.

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