FanPost

Rebel Baseball Sabermetrics: MSU @ Pearl

I haven't looked too much at the mid-week games, due to time constraints and on general purposes; they're usually not a good opponent and a one-game series isn't much of a sample size.  Since we are playing MSU, I've already put together there basics and wanted a peak ahead at our last regular season opponent.

As with Kentucky, I've presented the qualifiers and some basic sabermetric stats.  At this point, the season will be over before I get to play around too much with other things, but want to go back and do some further analysis while watching the Majors.  Also similarly, I've tried to guess positions based on recent trends.  Brownlee played a lot against Auburn, but the Oxford native (which is obviously where he picked up such obscene gestures) is suspended (has not had the plate appearances to qualify irregardless).  Johnson (.286/.355/.393 in 28 ABs), Stark (.261/.452/.522 in 23 ABs), and Frazier (.240/.264/.240 in 50 ABs) have all seen recent action as well.  None of the advanced stats I've used yet, or presented here in any even have taken base running into account.  I'm sure it will be mentioned but Vickerson has 20 stolen bases in 22 attempts and I would be remiss to not mention that fact.  Obviously Parks, 3B, is a beast.

Curious to see how these will turn out across the board, and when I try to look solely at the SEC.  MSU has a Park Factor of 95.8, a Schedule Factor of 107.1, and a combined Park and Schedule Factor of 102.2.  Ole Miss is at 95.9, 106.4, and 97.6 respectifely.  

Since it's normalized for the NCAA, I think the Schedule Factor will all be greater than a 100 for every team in the SEC especially as we continue to add SEC games into the mix. 

MSUPOSAVGOBPSLGOPSOPS+wOBAwOBA+K/PA
Thigpen C .278 .352 .342 .694 77 .315 .319 19.6
Collins 1B/OF .257 .364 .330 .695 80 .322 .335 12.0
Norris 1B .301 .423 .386 .809 107 .374 .380 18.3
Vickerson 2B .265 .387 .393 .780 101 .355 .366 17.8
Parks 3B .395 .517 .588 1.105 183 .476 .486 14.9
Ogden SS .274 .366 .476 .841 115 .383 .393 18.2
Bradford  OF .293 .387 .343 .729 88 .350 .358 9.1
Shepherd OF .273 .396 .325 .721 85 .359 .363 18.2
Freeman DH/C .314 .400 .397 .797 103 .361 .363 19.9
MSU
.285 .389 .383 .772 98 .346 .353 16.3
Ole Miss
.289 .368 .410 .778 95 .341 .332 17.3
SEC
.290 .377 .413 .790 100 .346 .346 15.7

 

For the MSU pitching stats, I've done the same.  Gravemen is set to through tonight, and I've just included their relievers without any of the other weekend starters (as they've previously thrown at least). As such I've included Jones who appeared in relief of Routt on Saturday.  Which is weird he appears to have better 'stuff' but it's on paper, mom's basement, etc etc.

I haven't done anything with the park factor or schedule factor here; the included FIP does include that so maybe I will integrate that factor at some point. 

MSUERAERA+K/9BB/9WHIPWILDBABIPFIP+DICEHR/9
Graveman 3.45 105 7.2 1.3 1.01 2.5 .309 2.83 1.92 0.00
Reed 0.88 413 10.6 2.6 0.85 2.9 .262 1.79 1.63 0.00
Pollorena 1.69 216 6.4 3.0 1.01 4.7 .239 4.08 3.30 0.34
Girodo 6.91 53 8.2 4.4 1.81 5.7 .395
4.88 1.26
Jones 4.15 88 8.1 2.5 1.15 4.4 .306 3.32 2.61 0.21
MSU 3.98 91 8.4 3.2 1.29 4.8 .319
3.05 0.43
Ole Miss 3.61 101 7.4 3.3 1.36 4.3 .322
3.11 0.46
SEC 3.64 100 7.8 3.9 1.39 4.5 .313
3.27 0.48

(Disclaimer, I use the wOBA and FIP information from College Splits

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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