FanPost

OMRB: vs Kentucky - Sabermetrics

For the Kentucky series, I am presenting their offensive and pitching stats.  I did a summary of the UK team stats, Ole Miss team stats, and have estimated them at the end of the players as presented from a defensive standpoint.  As with Georgia, I have to fill in some blanks, as they've moved players around - Maile and Williams have both caught and played first base, for example.  Also, Reber has played recently at DH and is hitting .412/.500/.765 but has only accumulated 17 at bats in his recent action.  Witt is at .268/.404/.341 but does not appear to have played lately if I remember correctly.  McConkey is also a non-factor but has played some as of late and is hitting a King like .188/.350/.188.  The italicized numbers indicate an estimation on my behalf from the data.  

A word about that, I'm trying to discern the park factors and schedule factors use, so with Kentucky, they've played in an easy to hit in ball park with a harder schedule.  So, the weighted average park factor for them (as a percentile) is a 97; and the schedule factor is a 105.5; combined they have a 103 park factor/schedule factor - present in the wOBA+ and then back calculated in my OPS+.   

Those factors for Ole Miss are a park factor of 94; schedule factor of 104, and a park/schedule factor of 98.  

One final note, for the SEC, I have used those to be completely neutral (OPS is 100 for the SEC; not really the case but haven't put together my own data yet and am interpolating from NCAA overall data).  Same for wOBA+, and for wOBA itself I do not have non intentional bases on balls yet or reached base on error stats.  

Kentucky POS AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA wOBA+ K/PA
Maile C/1B .272 .368 .465 .833 112 .371 .383 23.0
Williams C/1B .232 .318 .400 .718 84 .318 .333 14.5
Reida 2B .216 .344 .255 .599 54 .270 .279 24.2
McCarthy 3B .313 .409 .516 .925 135 .404 .412 15.1
Black SS .333 .401 .457 .858 121 .384 .400 9.8
Wright OF .336 .455 .504 .959 145 .430 .440 7.4
Brian Adams OF .289 .379 .422 .801 106 .360 .376 27.0
Riddle OF .320 .414 .474 .888 126 .399 .409 13.2
Kapteyn DH/11B .331 .429 .492 .922 135 .413 .423 9.6
UK
.294 .395 .440 .835 114 .362 .374 14.5
Ole Miss
.286 .364 .406 .770 92 .338 .332 17.8
SEC
.292 .379 .415 .794 100 .349 .349 18.5

 

For the Kentucky pitching stats, I've done the same.  The scheduled rotation is Meyer, Littrell, and Rogers on Sunday. Cooper is their mid-week guy, so we probably won't see him.  Kaczmarek seemed to have been their closer (4 saves), but not sure he's still holding down that role - he did throw against UL this week which is probably considered an important mid-week game round those parts.

I haven't done anything with the park factor or schedule factor here; the included FIP does include that so maybe I will integrate that factor at some point. 

Kentucky ERA ERA+ K/9 BB/9 WHIP WILD BABIP FIP+ DICE HR/9
Meyer 3.74 95 10.4 4.7 1.37 6.3 .354 2.89 1.32 0.33
Littrell 5.56 64 6.8 2.9 1.44 3.7 .336 4.95 2.75 0.82
Rogers 4.91 73 6.8 1.3 1.43 1.9 .364 3.75 2.16 0.38
Cooper 5.89 61 6.4 3.4 1.80 5.4 .397 4.96 3.49 0.98
Wijas 1.96 182 7.8 2.7 1.52 5.5 .397 5.16 3.35 1.17
Gott 0.43 833 10.7 5.6 1.86 7.3 .406 2.58 1.05 0.00
Phillips 3.00 119 8.5 0.5 1.33 1.5 .393 3.48 1.83 0.50
Kapteyn 5.54 64 15.2 2.1 1.15 8.3 .400 4.05 2.77 1.38
Kaczmarek 8.10 44 5.4 1.8 1.20 5.4 .281 5.38 4.30 0.90
UK 4.31 83 8.2 3.0 1.50 4.8 .365
2.34 0.59
Ole Miss 3.46 103 7.6 3.3 1.34 4.3 .322
3.00 0.41
SEC 3.57 100 7.8 3.9 1.38 4.5 .312
3.23 0.46

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