FanPost

WR Targets and other analysis - Fresno

 

This week, I did a little bit more.  I noticed trends in our running and passing games – so I charted them and have some pretty interesting results.

  • 1. Rushing - Why? Oh, why is Jeff Scott forced to run the ball between the tackles? He's not built to handle it and he's not good at it. I understand that we can't be one dimensional, but after you look at these numbers, I think you will agree with me.

Scott had 24 carries overall for 138 yards and 2 TDs - a pretty good day.

Between the tackles - he had 13 carries for 23 yards - an average of 1.8 YPC

Outside - he had 11 carries for 115 yards and 2 TDs - an average of 10.5 YPC

I called it an outside run even if it was called inside and he bounced it outside.  I think that matches the spirit of this analysis - basically, wherever he crossed the line of scrimmage determined if it were inside or outside.  Obviously the long run really skews the numbers, but I think it's more than the one long run causing this.  To prove that; I looked at the percentage of carries getting 5 yards or more.  Inside - only 17% went for 5 yards or more.  Outside - 55% went for 5 yards or more.

I think it's pretty clear that Scott needs to be predominately used attacking the edge.  Bolden on the other hand had 6 carries for 43 yards (7.2 YPC); all of them inside runs.  I'm not saying to use Bolden only for inside and Scott for outside, but I am saying to not ask Jeff Scott to do something he's not good at.  I think Devin Thomas would be a better option if we want to run between the tackles.

  • 2. Passing - I pointed out last week about our propensity to throw outside the numbers on curl/flat routes or flys. It continued this week. We threw 18 passes: 13 of them were thrown outside the numbers. Of those, only 3 were completed for 75 yards and a TD. Of the 5 passes thrown inside the numbers: All 5 were completed for 139 yards. (I called the screen to Moncrief inside because he made an inside move and it was between the #s. Two of the other 5 inside passes were screens so we really only had 2 passes thrown over the middle.)

Comp

Attempts

Yards

TDs

INT

QB Rating

Outside

3

13

75

1

0

96.9

Inside

5

5

139

0

0

333.5

Overall

8

18

214

1

0

162.6

I know this was a complaint of Arkansas fans and I'm really seeing it as a trend from us.  We have a good set of TEs and I think both Logan and Moncrief could attack the middle of the field.  I wish we would utilize that more.

  • 3. Receiving - That brings me to the targets of our WRs. You can't see too much difference between Mackey and Stoudt in terms of who they target. It does seem that Mackey is more apt to go down field so you would expect to see catch and completion % go down some.

Logan was targeted 5 times and had 3 catches for 65 yards.  He was close to having another big 3rd down catch, but the officials ruled he bobbled it.  Overall, a decent day.  Moncrief was targeted 3 times and had just the one catch on the well set up screen for 57 yards.  I would really like to see more of that.  Moncrief was close to having a big catch on the first pass of the game on the second 3-and-out when he caught it with a foot out of bounds.  I think he gets the feet in with more experience.  I think Moncrief it going to be special with time.

Brassell became more involved with 3 targets and 1 catch for 40 yards.  He had another target that he picked up a pass interference call.  He's coming into his own; it will be interesting to see how he develops and if he becomes a complete WR or just a deep threat.  The latter worked out pretty well for Mike Wallace though.

Melvin Harris came off suspension with 2 targets and got the lone TD.  Scott and Bolden both got a target on screens and had 24 and 6 yards respectively.  Philander Moore and Herman both had a target with no catch.  Wasn't Moore supposed to be a return specialist?

Another week and it looks like the TEs are becoming less and less a part of the offense.  Mosley and Allen had no targets this week.  They haven't had a ball thrown their way since the first play of the UGA game.

Overall, you have to be pleased with a win.  I think it ensured Nutt has a job for the remainder of the season.  I wasn't so sure if he took a dump out at Fresno.  I guess you could fire him after the 7th loss, but I don't think that's likely.  I still see a very predictable offensive game plan and we don't seem to play to our player's strength.  Hopefully we can turn it around and maybe pick up a game that we shouldn't.

Raw target numbers for season:

Total

106

62

771

3

12.4

7.3

58%

Name

Targets

Catches

Yards

TD

YPC

YPT

Catch Rate

Ja-Mes Logan

27

16

229

0

14.3

8.5

59%

Donte Moncrief

27

10

207

2

20.7

7.7

37%

Nick Brassell

10

4

98

0

24.5

9.8

40%

Jeff Scott

9

9

60

0

6.7

6.7

100%

Jamal Mosley

6

4

26

1

6.5

4.3

67%

Philander Moore

6

4

2

0

0.5

0.3

67%

Brandon Bolden

5

4

39

0

9.8

7.8

80%

Derrick Herman

5

3

18

0

6.0

3.6

60%

Ferbia Allen

4

4

53

0

13.3

13.3

100%

Vincent Sanders

3

2

34

0

17.0

11.3

67%

Devin Thomas

2

1

5

0

5.0

2.5

50%

HR Greer

1

1

0

0

0.0

0.0

100%

Collins Moore

1

0

0

0

0.0

0.0

0%

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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