FanPost

Bubble Watching



I could not get the image to paste very clearly, so please click on the link to look at it big. This is based on data as of Sunday afternoon. These 22 teams are Lunardi's bubble teams, and there are supposedly 11 spots available for these 22 teams.

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via img696.imageshack.us

So what to take from this:

  • The number on the right is the number of green (good) minus the number of red (bad) characteristics. This is only a rough estimate of overall profile because it (incorrectly) assumes that all factors are equal and does not account for extremes.
  • We are right in the middle. Pretty average across the board, but that is better than a lot of teams which are bad in many spots.
  • Georgia Tech is at the top, but they are 7-9 in conference. In past years, that has been a killer.
  • UConn is above us, but their 7-11 conference record is surely too much to overcome.
  • State is pretty much living off their wins over us. They have nothing else that gets them in the conversation.
  • Most think that Illinois is in due to their good wins, but the rest of their resume is severely lacking. 
  • It doesn't really make sense for a team to only be green in RPI, but several are. San Diego State has not done much, but they're sporting a very good 33 RPI. 
  • If we were to beat Tennessee, we'd go green in Top 25 W and Top 50 W. I believe that would put us in a very favorable position.
  • Since I made this chart, Wake Forest beat Clemson. This ends a four game losing streak for them, gets them to 9-7 in the ACC, and gives them another quality win. They are likely off the bubble and in the tournament. So make that ten spots remaining.

This post is a Red Cup Rebellion FanPost. Please don't sue us.

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