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Memphis Prediction

Anyone who saw my message board idiots post knows what I think about Memphis. Their football program is a relative joke, and very few of their "fans" care about the sport. Still, they beat us two years in a row in 2003 and 2004., so it's not as if their program is one at whom our program should scoff.

But that's neither here nor there. This Rebel team is out for blood, and they're going to punch Memphis in the mouth in a totally legal and non-Blountian manner.

My analysis follows after the jump.

Star-divide

Instead of going through the matchups, something I did last season that I thought was pretty static and uninteresting, I'm just going to hit some talking points with this post. I think that's probably the best way to go about these for teams I don't really care too much about. 

The Good:

Our run blocking has not suffered. Only our pass blocking has. We can still run very well. - Memphis might be able to get pressure on Jevan, but they're not going to be able to bottle up the run. Last year, we struggled running up the middle against Memphis, but I think that was just because our offensive line was still adjusting to new schemes, etc. Brandon Bolden, Cordera Eason, Dexter McCluster, Enrique Davis and Tim Simon should all get carries, and I think all of them will have some success. We're going to have to be able to rely on our running game early in the season while our new offensive linemen adjust to pass-blocking.

Jevan Snead escapability and quick release - While jevan will probably have more pressure put on him than he did last year, he's a good QB under pressure. Jevan's combination of mobility in the pocket and a Marino-like quick release allow him to get plays off before pockets collapse. This strength of Jevan's is going to go a long way in masking what could be a big hole on our offensive line.

Dexter McCluster is "undefendable" with Memphis' roster of defense - Even Tommy West admits that no one on their team can consistently tackle Dexter McCluster. Dexter's level of athleticism is totally unmatched by Memphis, and I expect us to exploit that. I think he'll see at least 14 touches on offense. It could be even more than that if we go to the Wild Rebel a good bit. It's so difficult to predict how often we will use that formation.

Memphis replaces four OL starters and three DL starters - Yeah. You read that right. They have one starter returning on each line. I pity the Memphis offensive line. They're about to get rocked. Oh, also, if we haven't harped on this enough, their starting right tackle weighs 265 pounds. That's smaller than Marcus Tillman. Our DL is going to have a lot of fun.

Last season's game - Last year, we killed Memphis. Chris Bowers played most of the fourth quarter, and the Tigers were able to make the score look a bit more respectable. Remember, we had not come together as a team yet at that point. We looked pretty bad against Samford only two weeks later. If we had played Memphis in November, we would have beaten them by at least 21 points.

Ed Orgeron was 3-0 against them - Don't forget this. Ed Orgeron, who many people claim was the worst coaching hire in SEC history, never lost to Tommy West. West even had DeAngelo one of those years, but he couldn't get it done. Curtis Steele is a pretty good halfback for Memphis, but he's no DeAngelo Williams.

Houston Nutt is 11-0 in his last eleven games against non-BCS opponents - Houston Nutt gets it done in games against vastly inferior teams. While many people have pointed out that he loses some games he should win (a point I don't dispute), he doesn't lose those games to teams that have no business being on the same field as his team. He loses them to BCS conference schools.

The Bad:

Carlos Singleton and Duke Calhoun are freakishly tall. - There's really not a corner on our roster who could compete with Calhoun or Singleton when a well-placed floater dropped into coverage. However, that's probably not too big of a concern with Hall at quarterback. While, he's certainly not bad, I don't see him handling pressure well when waiting for the few deep routes Memphis calls to develop. That brings me to another point. Tommy West doesn't use the right. He throws bubble screens to a 6'8" receiver who isn't shifty and asks him to make a big play. I read that this year West will finally put both of those guys on the field at the same time to stop safeties from cheating over to whichever one of them is on the field. That should help them a lot, but I don't think it's enough to make up for improper use.

Their offensive line isn't as important to their offense as ours is to us. - Memphis runs a quick-release offense, and they don't rely on their offensive linemen holding up for 3 or 4 seconds. However, Texas Tech showed that even quick release offenses can be screwed up with pressure. While we may not get many sacks, I don't thin Hall will feel comfortable in the pocket, and that's the last thing you want in a quarterback who is prone to making poor decisions.

The Prediction

Rebs by 14. Starters rest sporadically during the fourth; for good for the last 5 minutes.

That's my prediction. What's yours?

0 recs  |  Comment 14 comments |

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Solid analysis, we are going to dominate in the trenches. Rebs by 24.

That is hilarious their starting right tackle weighs 265 lbs. Shark Bait.

80% of me is going to watch the Rebels put on a football clinic, while the other 20% is going to make fun of Memphis State fans(cargo shorts, basketball shorts, Oakley M frames, faded Williams gear, etc.) Go Rebs!

"Monday is an awful way to spend 1/7 of your life"

by RednBlue on Sep 4, 2009 1:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would rather win a game by 10 and show nothing to South Carolina than win by 28 and give them an idea of what we’re going to run against them.

Either way, we win and it’s up to us to determine by how much.

Pig Pen this here's Rubber Duck, and I'm about to put the hammer down.

by JimHalpert on Sep 4, 2009 2:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

With the mismatches in the trenches along both sides, we can probably go pretty vanilla and still win this game by at least 21. Also, we can open it up a bit as long as we don’t show anything that hasn’t been seen before. Don’t forget that there is a year’s worth of film out there on us; the personnel, with the exception of Wallace, is the same as last season during the 6 game run, so you can bet the Ole Ball Coach will study that more than games against Memphis and SELA in preparation for us.

by RebelBarrister on Sep 4, 2009 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Edit your freakin' posts.

“Rebel” is capitalized, Juco. BAD REBEL ALERT WHOOOOP WHOOOOP

by The Ghost of Jay Cutler on Sep 4, 2009 2:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

44-17

Orange Mound.

by The Mahatma on Sep 4, 2009 3:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

45-17

Rebs win this one easily. Let’s move on and start game planning for SoCar’s offensive offense.

by DinkyBalls on Sep 4, 2009 3:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It is well established on this blog that That Damn David Brandt is no friend of Ole Miss.

Pig Pen this here's Rubber Duck, and I'm about to put the hammer down.

by JimHalpert on Sep 5, 2009 12:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Perhaps he thinks Curtis Steele is legit or something.

Steele is pretty good, but he won’t be much of a factor against the LaNdShArKs. And with regards to the wideouts, I think we at the Cup have established our opinion that, while physically gifted, are not utilized properly. Also, people have brought up Duke Calhoun and Carlos Singletery as something we should worry about before every single Memphis game over the last three years or so.

by The Ghost of Jay Cutler on Sep 5, 2009 9:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rebels drop the HAMMER

I am sorry but I don’t think anyone is giving our defense, especially our secondary the respect they deserve. Marshay Green will take one to the house in this game, I expect 2 defensive touchdowns at least. Can anyone tell me why this game is going to be even remotely close? What iota of improvement or hint of consistency can you take from memphis, who had to win their last game to be bowl eligble, then got waxed in their bowl game to finish 6-7. The tigers passing offense was 7th in confUSA,.
The Rebels beat memphis last year by 17+ without Hardy, Jerry, and an out of shape Powe The Rebels were running a new offense and defense and they pasted memphis. The Rebels are a legitimate top 10 team playing a team with only 4 returning starters on offense, a new defensive coordinator who was a former high school coach,( because the d- coordinator from Miami got out as fast as he could ) and a defense that gave up 300 yards rushing to the Rebels last year and over 500 yards total Offense.
This Rebel team has talent, coaching, and swagger, this is the Rebels year and I look for them to Hammer memphis 55-0.

by hotstove97 on Sep 6, 2009 3:28 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You only got 2 things wrong with that last post.

(1) Ole Miss is not a legitamate top 10 team.
(2) The HC is not that good.

Christopher Martin Gonzalez

by GonzoHog on Sep 6, 2009 7:07 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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