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South Carolina Prediction

This is a game that I have had circled on my schedule for some time now. It's very scary. I must say that I was very happy when South Carolina struggled against NC State.  But then came their game against Georgia and my worries were resurrected.  A losing team has rarely scared me as much as South Carolina did during that game. Stephen Garcia showed an ability to take what the defense gave him, averaging 5.9 yards per attempt on 53 passing attempts.

Yep. 53 attempts. Anyone who has seen the Rebel secondary for the past eleventy billion years is frightened by that number. In years past, I cringed whenever the opposing team threw a pass, just knowing that it would be completed. Sure, this year our corners and safeties have performed admirably, but two solid games against Memphis and Southeast Louisiana prove nothing significant.

South Carolina's strengths don't stop in the passing game either.

Star-divide

Freshman sensation Jarvis Giles had a breakout game against Florida Atlantic (11 carries, 113 yards, 1 TD). It's difficult to determine if the cause of that breakout game was solely the opponent, since Giles struggled the week before against Georgia, rushing for only 2.3 yards per carry. However, even if his stats may only be a product of playing against a poor run defense, it worries me. Our run defense has struggled, giving up 3.3 yards per carry against two weak opponents. We aren't tackling well, but our players also just don't seem to be in positions to make plays all that often. We need to work on block shedding as much as we do on fundamental tackling. Lastly, I'll say this about South Carolina's running backs: if Steve Spurrier continues to trot out Brian Maddox as a starter, he's doing a disservice to his team. Giles is too big a playmaker to leave on the sidelines early.

Tori Gurley is the Gamecocks' go-to receiver, but I haven't been all that impressed with him. Watching the NC State and Georgia games, I saw Gurley often and remember hearing his name a lot. He certainly made some good grabs, but there were also routine plays on which Gurley failed or just didn't even try. I don't think that there is one significant matchup problem as far as their receivers are concerned (other than height across the board), but Garcia does a good job of spreading the ball around, so we need to make sure that Jeremy McGee and Marcus Temple play hard against slot receivers.

The Gamecok offensive line is the area in which we really need to attack. Our defensive line, while highly touted, has yet to produce the uncanny pass rush that we saw much of last year. Sure, you're not going to get tons of sacks against teams like Memphis or SELA due to their offensive gameplans, but I don't feel like we have been blowing up inferior offensive linemen like we need to. Here's our chance. South Carolina's offensive line is the key. They hired a new offensive line coach to try to get a grip on their problems, and the offensive line has performed admirably at times this season, but if the Rebels win, it's because of this mismatch.  If we can get consistent pressure on Stephen Garcia with Kentrell Lockett, Emmanuel Stephens, and Jerrell Powe, we win the game.

On defense, the Gamecocks are banged up a good bit, but they don't appear to have significant injuries keeping players out of the game. Obviously, it's tough to tell how much a lingering "minor" injury will affect performance. We have seen Greg Hardy's career damn near destoryed due to a string of so-called "minor" injuries.

Obviously, everyone is concerned about Eric Norwood, the Gamecocks starting linebacker/defensive end/safety/long snapper, but I think there's another name that we could see surface as a legitimate defensive presence for South Carolina, and that's defensive tackle Travian Robertson. In both South Carolina games I have watched this year, Robertson has stuck out as a player who can collapse the pocket. Sure, he's not incredible yet, but I think that there are certainly sparks of greatness. A defensive tackle who can get pressure on the quarterback is not something that our interior linemen need right now.

South Carolina's secondary is young, but they're very talented. Still, I'm going to have to side with our veteran receivers. Shay Hodge and Dexter McCluster can get open against anyone. If Pat-Pat is a real weapon in this game, Jevan's stats could be excellent.

So all that to say that I think the game will be very close.

Rebels by 2.

That's my prediction. What's yours?

0 recs  |  Comment 20 comments |

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Ole Miss by

Six.

And it’s a high-ish scoring affair, as well. 30-24, or there about.

by DaronVU05 on Sep 24, 2009 10:46 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i live in reno/tahoe area. i bet college football every week

ole miss vs s.c. is the only game tonight. the point spread is 3 points. i know the mwc, wac pac-ten, big 12 and confernece usa really well. the sec is tricky to me. just want an honest opinion on ole miss b/c i’m leaning their way. i love your coach. very enthusiatic. i believe he started out at boise state’s head coach when they first became div. 1-a level. just strentghs, weaknessess and injuries. i like javon snead too. he is deadly accurate. that game vs texas tech was great. they were actually getting four points in game so i just took the positive moneyline. worked out great. any help would be greatly appreciated. thanks.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Sep 24, 2009 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

20-10 OM

Our defense is a lot better than advertised. Particularly our front 4. SC will have a hard time running the ball. My biggest concern is the punting game (kicking and receiving). SC has an excellent defensive line and our offense will have some difficulty at times. We avoid turnovers we will be fine. We must protect the ball.

by Bruce Dickinson on Sep 24, 2009 10:57 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ole Miss 31, South Carolina 17

There are two ways this game goes. Either we lay it on them, which what I think (and quite frankly, hope) will happen, or it is very close because our offense does not click and keeps the defense on the field too long too early.

by Role Player on Sep 24, 2009 11:03 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

38-20 Ole Miss

     Mmmmm. Kool-Aid Good!

by tuk u 2 on Sep 24, 2009 11:06 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

We proved

that if you fumble twice inside your own 30 and throw a pick six…you can still win. Now I don’t advocate this proven strategy against the ’Cocks, but it worked for us.

I’m thinking Ole Miss 24 South Carolina 21.

Directional kickoffs: More fun than a bag of snakes.

by DavetheDawg on Sep 24, 2009 11:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ric Flair on SC's official athletic website. Hilarious!!

http://spursupblog.com/2009/09/24/a-special-message-from-ric-flair/

These guys are idiots. Complete idiots. Maybe we can get Hacksaw Jim Duggan to call and fire our guys up.

by Brave Rebel on Sep 24, 2009 11:17 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

WOOOOOO!

You’re just jealous.

--Robert

by a gamecock fan on Sep 24, 2009 12:01 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Damn

I would liked to have had the Nature Boy’s endorsement. Someone will have to throw him into the ropes so he can flip over the top and run down the apron — only to get clotheslined off the ring and onto the concrete. WOOO!!

Don't try and lay no boogie woogie on the king of rock 'n roll.

by RobRob9 on Sep 24, 2009 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

28-24

The Gamecocks show promise in the first half. Then Peria Jerry comes out of the stands, bored as hell from being on IR in Atlanta, and eats their mascot. The Gamecocks lose all hope and do not manage a second half comeback. Rebels win a fairly close one.

by TNreb on Sep 24, 2009 11:33 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

We should have a small edge in terms of starting field position for this game; their coverage has not been great. They are also pretty banged up in the front 7 with little depth, so hopefully we can pound them early and wear them down. USC’s secondary is suspect, IMO, starting two true Fresh. We should be able to exploit that IF the OL gives Snead the time needed.

Their OL is ok, but not great, so we should be able to get pressure on Garcia; the pressure though must be in the collapse of the pocket so as not to allow Garcia a sprint out option. Have not been impressed by their run game, though will admit if our tackling doesn’t improve, it will be a factor.

Rebs by 7.

by RebelBarrister on Sep 24, 2009 11:33 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

62-0 Rebs

if I had the same kind of unjustified optimism their fans do every year. I think we get two late scores to pull it out. Ole Miss wins 28-17

by dogrebdolph on Sep 24, 2009 11:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

38-24 Ole Miss wins

Reason being… REVENGE. The team seems to be very concerned about the fact that we lost to U of SC last year. From some of the remarks I’ve read, they want to prove themselves this week. I also think the hype we have right now about being a poser top 5 team will add fuel to the fire, while at the same time giving South Carolina a little overconfidence. I think Norwood will make a big play or two for them, but we’ll use strategery to keep him out of the game.

by unidentified black male on Sep 24, 2009 12:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Todd mcshay and mel kiper go with....

South carolina pulling the upset this morning on espn

by Meekrabs on Sep 24, 2009 12:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ole Miss by 11

31-20. Rebs start slow, but hit their stride in the second half…hopefully maintaining it for the rest of the season.

by the_drake on Sep 24, 2009 12:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

By two?

I think you forgot to write touchdowns after your prediction Juco. Two touchdowns.

38-14. We will play like a top 5 team. We are a top 5 team. We will beat them like a top 5 team should.

by ColRebsLastBreath on Sep 24, 2009 12:41 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Took the words out of my mouth...

We will start slow then wear them down in the second half, Greg Hardy and the D will line will be a big factor on Garcia. 38-14 rebs.

Marty Stuart was a dope head.

by Rebel Yell on Sep 24, 2009 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

30-17 rebels

"Hollywood made a movie of my life. The film had me proposing to my wife on the football field. I would never misuse a football field that way." -Crazy Legs Hirsch

by Stuck in the Plains on Sep 24, 2009 2:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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